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Time Machine

Health Information Technologists and Medical Registrars

Scrub through 108years of this role's history, from when it first emerged, through every wave of technology that reshaped it, to the cited projections for where it's heading next.

2026drag to travel through time
195019752000now
2026
Known today as Health Information Technologists and Medical Registrars (BLS SOC 29-9021, 2018 SOC revision)
Latest actual · 2024
38K
OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.
Latest actual · 2024
$67,310
Source: BLS-OEWS
Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.
Tools of the era

The tools that defined the work

Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Paper charts, card index systems, and disease indices

    For the first four decades of the profession, every medical record was a paper document: handwritten physician notes, typed discharge summaries, nursing observations, lab slips. The medical record librarian's primary tools were card files and ledger books: a disease index (listing all patients by diagnosis), an operation index (by procedure type), and a physician index (by attending clinician). Records were filed in folders in a terminal-digit filing system to distribute retrieval traffic evenly across the stacks. Retrieving a chart for a readmission or a researcher meant a physical walk to the shelves. The ICD system, which the United States adopted in codified form beginning with the 1949 ICD-6 revision, provided the first standardised vocabulary for the disease index, though not yet for billing.

    Paper chartClinical notes
  • Medicare and Medicaid documentation requirements (microfilm, early mainframes)

    The Social Security Amendments of 1965, which created Medicare and Medicaid, transformed the medical record from a clinical document into a financial instrument. For the first time, a hospital's reimbursement depended directly on the accuracy and completeness of the records its medical record department produced. The profession grew rapidly in the late 1960s and 1970s in response. Microfilm became the storage medium of choice for completed records, reducing physical space requirements. Large teaching hospitals began experimenting with mainframe-based master patient index systems in the 1970s, but most medical record departments remained paper-and-microfilm shops. The 1979 federal mandate to use ICD-9-CM (the Clinical Modification developed specifically for US billing) for all Medicare and Medicaid claims was the first requirement that every hospital employ credentialed coders capable of translating physician documentation into standardised diagnostic and procedure codes.

    Effect on the work

    The Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement link created a direct financial incentive for hospitals to invest in credentialed medical record professionals. AHIMA membership grew substantially through the 1970s; the Accredited Record Technician (ART) credential, created in 1953, became a hiring requirement at many hospitals.

    Mainframe processingComputerized records
  • Enterprise Electronic Health Record systems (Epic, Cerner, HITECH mandate 2009)

    The Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health (HITECH) Act, signed into law on February 17, 2009 as Title XIII of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, allocated approximately $25.9 billion to drive adoption of certified electronic health record systems by US hospitals and physicians. By 2015, 96% of hospitals and 87% of office-based physician practices were using EHR systems. For health information professionals, EHR adoption was both a professional windfall and a job-content revolution. The transition required enormous human effort: every hospital needed staff to configure EHR templates, map legacy paper codes to electronic equivalents, train clinicians, validate data migration, and implement the new coding workflows within the system. The ICD-10-CM transition, which the US completed on October 1, 2015, tripling the number of available diagnostic codes from roughly 13,000 (ICD-9-CM) to 68,000 (ICD-10-CM), required years of coder education and created a temporary wave of additional hiring to manage the changeover.

    Effect on the work

    BLS OEWS data for the predecessor code 29-2071 shows the workforce growing from roughly 167,000 in 2010 to approximately 200,000+ by the mid-2010s as EHR implementation and ICD-10 transition drove demand. The 2018 SOC revision that split the category into 29-9021 (technologists) and 29-2072 (specialists) makes longitudinal comparison difficult.

    Electronic recordDigital charting
  • ICD-10-CM / ICD-10-PCS, computer-assisted coding (CAC), and cloud-based EHR analytics

    The October 2015 US transition to ICD-10-CM (diagnoses) and ICD-10-PCS (inpatient procedures) was the largest single structural change in clinical coding since the 1983 DRG system. The new code set was five times larger than ICD-9-CM and introduced greater specificity in laterality, encounter type, and clinical detail. Early computer-assisted coding (CAC) tools, using rule-based natural language processing to suggest ICD codes from physician note text, became a standard feature of major EHR vendor platforms. CAC did not replace coders: it served as a first-pass suggestion engine that a human coder reviewed, accepted, rejected, or modified. The practical effect was to shift coder time from routine lookups toward complex multi-condition cases and query management. Cloud-based analytics platforms from vendors including Health Catalyst, Optum, and 3M gave health information departments access to population-level data analysis tools, expanding the role toward outcomes reporting and quality metrics.

    Electronic recordDigital charting
  • Generative AI clinical documentation and autonomous coding assistants (ambient scribes, LLM-assisted coding)

    Ambient AI scribes, combining automated speech recognition and generative large language models, have emerged as the most disruptive near-term technology for health information professionals. These tools listen to patient-physician conversations and draft structured clinical notes automatically, reducing the quality and quantity of physician documentation that coders work from. In parallel, AI coding assistants have moved beyond the rule-based CAC of the 2010s toward LLM-based systems that claim fully autonomous ICD and CPT code assignment. The honest picture as of 2026 is that LLM-based coding systems achieve below 50% exact-match accuracy in studies using complex inpatient cases, compared to trained human coders who achieve 80-98% accuracy depending on case complexity. The hybrid model, AI as a triage and first-pass engine with human review of low-confidence and high-complexity cases, is the mainstream enterprise approach. The net employment effect through 2034 remains positive: the BLS projects 15% growth for 29-9021, citing the continued expansion of digital health data that requires governance, quality assurance, and compliance oversight that AI systems cannot yet provide without human validation.

    AI audit toolsPattern detection
Projection cone · present → 2034

What credible sources project

Scrub the slider past now to anchor each scenario on the scrubber. The spread is the range of futures credible sources project for this role.

Employment outlook
Projected change in the number of people doing this work.
BLS National Employment Matrix 2024-34
2034
+15%
BLS Employment Projections 2024-34. Base employment: 41,900 (2024); projected employment: 48,100 (2034); net gain approximately 6,200 positions. Classified as "much faster than average" against an all-occupations average of +3.1%. The BLS cites growing volumes of electronic health data, expanded health information exchange requirements, and value-based care reimbursement models as the primary growth drivers. The projection does not model specific AI-coding displacement because BLS methodology models occupational-level net change, which captures both positive demand drivers and offsetting automation effects; the net is still strongly positive.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 2025-26 edition
2034
+15%
The BLS OOH (2025-26 edition) describes the outlook for 29-9021 as "much faster than average," with approximately 3,200 annual job openings projected, combining net new positions and replacement of workers who leave the occupation. Growth is driven by the continuing expansion of digital health data: the volume of electronic health records, telehealth encounter data, and connected-device patient data continues to grow faster than the workforce that manages it. The OOH also notes the expansion of health information exchange (HIE) networks and the reporting requirements of value-based care programs as structural demand drivers independent of the AI automation trend.
AI task exposure
Share of the role’s tasks that researchers estimate AI can do. This is a measure of task exposure, not a forecast of jobs lost.
Eloundou et al. (2023): "GPTs are GPTs"
2028
55%
of tasks
GPT-4 task-by-task LLM exposure labeling on O*NET tasks for health information technologists. The occupation scores in the medium-to-high range for LLM exposure because a substantial share of tasks, including abstracting patient records, assigning diagnostic codes from text, and drafting documentation summaries, are precisely the information-extraction and classification tasks where LLMs show strong performance. The 55% task-exposure estimate reflects this: more than half of the role's O*NET tasks are meaningfully exposed to LLM augmentation or automation. This is NOT a forecast of job losses; it is an estimate of how much of the workflow could be affected by LLM tools. Given the accuracy constraints documented in clinical AI research and the compliance liability of miscoding, the realistic trajectory is augmentation (human-in-the-loop) rather than automation, at least through 2028.
Today, in this role

What's shifting in the work right now

The historical view above shows how this role has moved. This is the present-day detail: which AI tools are picking up which tasks, where the edge still is, and the natural directions this work can grow.

What's changing in your day

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereAssign the patient to diagnosis-related groups (DRGs), using appropriate computer software.

Assign the patient to diagnosis-related groups (DRGs), using appropriate computer software.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you hereCompile medical care and census data for statistical reports on diseases treated, surgery performed, or use of hospital beds.

Compile medical care and census data for statistical reports on diseases treated, surgery performed, or use of hospital beds.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you hereDesign databases to support healthcare applications, ensuring security, performance and reliability.

Design databases to support healthcare applications, ensuring security, performance and reliability.[2]

Where your edge is

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The data behind this timeline

On record since1928
Latest tracked employment37,620 (US, 2024)
Latest median pay$67,310 (2024)
Outlook+15% by 2034 (BLS National Employment Matrix 2024-34)
View all 7 cited data points
YearUS employmentMedian annual paySource
195015,000n/aESTIMATE
198040,000$11,000ESTIMATE
199595,000n/aESTIMATE
202137,900$55,560BLS-OEWS
202235,500$58,250BLS-OEWS
202334,430$62,990BLS-OEWS
202437,620$67,310BLS-OEWS
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