Farmers and ranchers
Official title Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers (SOC 11-9013)
In brief
In 2025, BLS counted 788,700 US farmers and ranchers, including the self-employed. Median pay was $89,900 a year in May 2025. The earliest figure here is a Census count of 3,127,715 from 1870, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for farmers and ranchers: Hybrid seed, chemical fertilizer and pesticides, 1930 to 1995.
Official statistic: latest count, pay.Researched context: earliest figure.
What the sources say
Official outlook
BLS projects employment to decline 3.4% from 2025 to 2035.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
Official statistic
AI exposure studies
- 24.5% of this job's tasks are exposed to large language models. Not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou and others, 2023 Official statistic
- 0.047 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013 Official statistic
Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35.
Last updated .
Cite this page
Future History. (2026, October 31). Farmers and ranchers: jobs and pay since 1870 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9013
Future History. "Farmers and ranchers: jobs and pay since 1870." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 31, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9013.
@misc{futurehistory_11_9013, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Farmers and ranchers: jobs and pay since 1870}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9013}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-31. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }
The access date is today's date on your device.
National Employment Matrix total for 2025 from the BLS 2025-35 projections cycle. It counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers (66.9% of this occupation in 2025), so it is on a different basis from OEWS wage-and-salary estimates and is not a like-for-like point beside them.
≈ $87,595 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)
About 41 percent of the US workforce was employed in agriculture in 1900. By 2000 only 1.9 percent of the employed labor force worked in agriculture.
Off-farm work was already part of farm life: about 30 percent of farmers worked off the farm in 1930, and by 2000, 93 percent of farms earned some off-farm income.
The Agricultural Adjustment Act, the first "farm bill", set up the New Deal mix of commodity price and income supports for farmers.
The number of US farms peaked at 6.8 million in 1935, then fell sharply until the early 1970s. USDA counted 1.88 million farms in 2024.
The 2022 Census of Agriculture counted 3.4 million producers on 1.9 million farms; the number of farms fell 6.9 percent from 2017, and producers averaged 58.1 years of age. Producer counts include everyone involved in farm decisions, so they run far higher than the occupation counts on this timeline.
Family farms, where the operator and relatives own most of the business, made up about 96 percent of US farms and 83 percent of total production in 2023.
Will AI replace farmers and ranchers? What the research says
Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.
Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.
- BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Target year 2035
- Eloundou et al. (2023), "GPTs are GPTs"2023 study · Share of tasks exposed to LLMs (β, human-rated)24.5%of tasks
- Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)0.047probability
What's changing day to day for farmers and ranchers
Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.
AI is sitting alongside you here Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data
Sources[2]
AI is sitting alongside you here Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale…
to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.[2]
AI is sitting alongside you here Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish…
, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.[2]
How has the work of farmers and ranchers changed since 1831?
The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.
Mechanical reaper and steel plow
Cyrus McCormick tested his horse-drawn reaper in Virginia in 1831, and after his patent lapsed rival makers multiplied, more than a hundred of them by 1850. With a reaper, grain could be cut when it was ready, in less time and with less labor. John Deere's plow, made in his Grand Detour, Illinois blacksmith shop by 1838, scoured clean in the sticky prairie soil that clogged older plows. Together they let one farm family work far more land, and they pulled farming west onto the prairie.
Land-grant colleges, homesteads and public farm research
In 1862 Congress passed the Morrill Act, which funded state colleges to teach agriculture and the mechanic arts, and the Homestead Act, which offered surveyed public land free to families who would live on and farm it. The Hatch Act of 1887 and the Smith-Lever Act of 1914 further expanded the public role in agricultural research. Running a farm began to draw on public science and schooling, not only on what a family had learned for itself.
Gasoline tractor replaces horses and mules
The Fordson, introduced in 1917, quickly became the most popular tractor in America. By 1960 they had millions of tractors and 3 million work animals. The 1954 Census of Agriculture found millions of horses and mules had left farms in just four years. USDA concludes that tractors had essentially replaced animal power by 1970, and with it went much of the hired and family labor that animal farming needed.
Effect on the workOver the same years the share of the US workforce employed in agriculture fell steeply (USDA ERS). This is a description of the period, not a measured effect of the tractor alone.
Hybrid seed, chemical fertilizer and pesticides
The first company to produce hybrid corn seed commercially was organized in 1926, and production took off in the early 1930s. By 1960, nearly all of US corn acres were planted with hybrid seed, which farmers had to buy fresh each year. Cheap chemical fertilizers and pesticides spread after 1945.
GPS guidance, precision agriculture and genetically engineered seed
Genetically engineered seed for major field crops went on sale in 1996, and today most of US corn, upland cotton and soybeans are grown from GE varieties. In the same years farmers adopted yield maps, variable-rate application and GPS guidance, which began with lightbars in the mid-1990s.
Effect on the workIn a USDA sample of Midwestern corn fields (2010 and 2016), adopters of guidance systems worked fewer hours per acre than nonadopters. USDA cautions, in the same passage, that larger operations also tend to adopt other labor-saving practices and equipment, so such gaps are not mainly attributable to one technology; an earlier USDA study found no significant difference in labor hours per bushel for guidance adopters.
Farm data platforms, smartphones, autonomy and AI
Running a farm has become a data job as well as a field job. Telematics and software now handle routine farm record keeping, and guidance and section control already automate much of the steering. USDA cautions that AI and machine learning have not yet been deployed at scale on farms, so their effect on the work is still unproven.
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Browse all rolesFarmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers employment and pay by year
View all 27 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
| Year | US employment | Annual pay (median unless marked) | Source | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1870 | 3,127,715 | n/a | Decennial Census 1870[1] Researched context | Report |
| 1880 | 4,301,412 | n/a | Decennial Census 1880[1] Researched context | Report |
| 1890 | 5,382,037 | n/a | Decennial Census 1890[1] Researched context | Report |
| 1900 | 5,763,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1900[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1910 | 6,163,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1910[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1920 | 6,442,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1920[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1930 | 6,032,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1930[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1940 | 5,362,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1940[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1950 | 4,375,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1950[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1960 | 2,526,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1960[2] Researched context | Report |
| 1970 | 1,350,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1970[2] Researched context | Report |
| 2010 | n/a | $60,750 | BLS OEWS May 2010[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2011 | n/a | $64,660 | BLS OEWS May 2011[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2012 | n/a | $69,300 | BLS OEWS May 2012[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2013 | n/a | $70,110 | BLS OEWS May 2013[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2014 | n/a | $68,050 | BLS OEWS May 2014[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2015 | n/a | $64,170 | BLS OEWS May 2015[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2016 | n/a | $66,360 | BLS OEWS May 2016[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2017 | n/a | $69,620 | BLS OEWS May 2017[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2018 | n/a | $67,950 | BLS OEWS May 2018[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2019 | n/a | $71,160 | BLS OEWS May 2019[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2020 | n/a | $68,090 | BLS OEWS May 2020[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2021 | n/a | $73,060 | BLS OEWS May 2021[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2022 | n/a | $75,760 | BLS OEWS May 2022[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2023 | n/a | $83,770 | BLS OEWS May 2023[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2024 | n/a | $87,980 | BLS OEWS May 2024[4] Official statistic | Report |
| 2025 | 788,700 | $89,900 | BLS Employment Projections 2025 (employment)[3] Official statisticBLS OEWS May 2025 (pay)[4] Official statistic | Report |